Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
449 AM CDT Wed May 15 2024
KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-161000-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
449 AM CDT Wed May 15 2024
This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
Patchy dense fog is expected this morning occasionally reducing
visibilities to a mile or less...use caution if traveling.
A few strong storms will be possible tonight...with the main threat
being gusty winds and small hail.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday
Additional storms are expected Thursday and Friday. Severe weather
is not anticipated however a few strong storms may be possible.
In addition, minor flooding may be possible with several rounds
of storms expected.
More detailed information can be accessed at...
https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Topeka KS
1027 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024
KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-170330-
Republic-Washington-Marshall-Nemaha-Brown-Cloud-Clay-Riley-
Pottawatomie-Jackson-Jefferson-Ottawa-Dickinson-Geary-Morris-
Wabaunsee-Shawnee-Douglas-Lyon-Osage-Franklin-Coffey-Anderson-
1027 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Kansas, east central
Kansas, north central Kansas and northeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Tonight.
Thunderstorms will impact the area overnight. An isolated storm or
two could be strong to severe and produce hail up to one inch in
diameter and wind gusts to 60mph.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
&&
More detailed information can be found at:
www.weather.gov/media/top/DssPacket.pdf
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
909 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024
KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-170215-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
909 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024
This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Tonight
Severe thunderstorms will remain possible, mainly across south
central and southeast Kansas. The main threats will be hail up to
ping-pong ball size and downburst wind gust of 60 to 70 mph.
Locally heavy rainfall with minor lowland flooding will also become
a concern overnight.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday
Periodic chances for thunderstorms will remain in the forecast for
Thursday, Friday, and Sunday through Tuesday. A few storms could be
strong to severe Thursday.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.
&&
For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=ict
$$
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
813 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024
KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-170115-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
813 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.
.DAY ONE...Tonight.
Weather hazards expected...
Limited hail risk.
Limited thunderstorm wind damage risk.
Elevated lightning risk.
Limited excessive rainfall risk
DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorms have begun to develop across southern Kansas and
northern Oklahoma this evening, and are expected to push east
into the area after 10pm. There will be the potential for damaging
straight line winds and hail up to the size of quarters for
locations along and west of Interstate 49 with a few of the
storms. Cloud to ground lightning and locally heavy rain are the
expected risk east of Interstate 49 tonight.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
Showers and thunderstorms will likely be moving east across the
area Thursday morning. Additional storms may develop Thursday
afternoon and evening, generally along and south of a Branson to
Rolla line. If enough instability can develop after the morning
convection a few strong storms with hail and gusty winds will be
possible. Locally heavy rainfall will also be possible and could
lead to a localized flooding risk on Thursday.
Additional showers and thunderstorms will move across the region
Thursday night through the day on Friday. Locally heavy rainfall
and a minor localized flooding risk will occur again on Friday.
Thunderstorm chances then return to the area next week.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation may be needed later today or tonight for
locations west of Interstate 49.
&&
More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket
This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf
$$
Melto
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
344 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024
IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>050-057>062-070>075-
081>086-092>097-162045-
Emmet-Kossuth-Winnebago-Worth-Palo Alto-Hancock-Cerro Gordo-
Pocahontas-Humboldt-Wright-Franklin-Butler-Bremer-Sac-Calhoun-
Webster-Hamilton-Hardin-Grundy-Black Hawk-Crawford-Carroll-Greene-
Boone-Story-Marshall-Tama-Audubon-Guthrie-Dallas-Polk-Jasper-
Poweshiek-Cass-Adair-Madison-Warren-Marion-Mahaska-Adams-Union-
Clarke-Lucas-Monroe-Wapello-Taylor-Ringgold-Decatur-Wayne-
Appanoose-Davis-
344 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Iowa.
.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight
Scattered showers and thunderstorms move back into the area from
west to east this afternoon and evening. The threat for any
organized severe weather is low, however locally heavy rainfall
is possible.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday
Chances for a few thunderstorms continue into Thursday. The
severe weather threat for that period is low at this time.
Additional thunderstorm chances appear Sunday and into early next
week. The severe threat for that period remains uncertain at this
time.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected today, but any wind or hail
reports are appreciated.
$$
MF
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
315 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024
IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-161200-
Buchanan-Delaware-Dubuque-Benton-Linn-Jones-Jackson-Iowa-Johnson-
Cedar-Clinton-Muscatine-Scott-Keokuk-Washington-Louisa-Jefferson-
Henry IA-Des Moines-Van Buren-Lee-Jo Daviess-Stephenson-Carroll-
Whiteside-Rock Island-Henry IL-Bureau-Putnam-Mercer-Henderson-
Warren-Hancock-McDonough-Scotland-Clark-
315 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central
Illinois...northwest Illinois...west central Illinois...east
central Iowa...northeast Iowa...southeast Iowa and northeast
Missouri.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
There is a low chance for an isolated thunderstorm late tonight,
but severe weather is not expected.
Area tributary rivers and lower portions of the Mississippi River
are experiencing flooding. Please see the latest Flood Statements
and Flood Warnings for details.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
There will be a chance for scattered to isolated thunderstorms
Thursday afternoon and evening, mainly along and north of
Interstate 80. Some of these storms may be strong with hail and
gusty winds. There is a Marginal Risk, or level 1 out of 5 for
severe storms across portions of extreme east central Iowa into
northwestern Illinois Thursday afternoon and evening.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight. However,
there is a low chance that spotter activation will be needed
Thursday afternoon across northwestern Illinois.
GENERAL STORM MOTION OF THE DAY: East to northeast at 30 MPH.
$$
12
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service St Louis MO
252 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024
ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-162000-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-
Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-
Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Knox MO-
Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-
Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-
Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-
Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-
Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
252 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.
.DAY ONE...Tonight.
There is a chance of thunderstorms late tonight mainly in Missouri.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
There is a chance of thunderstorms Thursday through Saturday. There
is another chance of thunderstorms Monday and Tuesday.
Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible Thursday
afternoon and evening, especially over portions of east central/
Southeast Missouri and southwest Illinois. Locally heavy rain could
result in minor flooding Friday over southeast Missouri and
southwest Illinois.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
Byrd
